Fire Situation Report – October 17, 2019


Oklahoma Department of Agriculture, Food and Forestry - Forestry Services

PROTECTION AREA STATISTICS 10/14/2019 thru 10/17/2019 

NE Area – 

EC Area – No New Activity

SE Area – 

Large / Significant Fire Activity within the Protection Area: No New Activity

Fire Activity with OFS Response outside of the Protection Area: No New Activity

OFS Prescribed Fire Activity: No New Activity

 FIRE DEPARTMENT STATISTICS from www.firereporting.ok.gov recorded on 10/14/2019 thru 10/17/2019 

  • No New Activity Reported
  • Additional initial attack fires noted though informal reporting and media outlets

Statewide Discussion: 

Red Flag Warning in effect today, October 17, 2019 for Cimarron County from 12:00 PM through 8:00 PM.

Warm, dry and breezy conditions in the Oklahoma Panhandle and across the western third of Oklahoma today will result in elevated fire danger and potential for increased fire behavior including rapid rates of fire spread especially on fires that become established. Most areas in western Oklahoma have not received wetting rains in more than 10 days (36 day separation in Cimarron County) and the early freeze occurring last weekend pushed much of the fuel load into dormancy increasing the quantity of available fuels. Elevated fire danger concerns will remain in place through the weekend for the Panhandle and portions of western Oklahoma. While the probability of significant fire occurrence remains low, initial attack activity is expected to increase along with potential for some large fire activity.

Today: The highest fire danger indices today will exist in the western Oklahoma Panhandle where temperatures in the mid-80⁰’s and late afternoon relative humidity values 8-16% under mostly clear skies will deliver fine-dead fuel moisture values as low as 3%. South-southwest winds 17-23 mph with gusts around 30 mph will deliver rates of head fire spread in rangeland fuels of 150-215 ft./min. with head fire flame lengths 12-15 ft. Firefighters should expect increased fire behavior potential where fuels are present in alignment with wind and topography.

 In western Oklahoma, temperatures in the upper-70⁰’s to mid-80⁰’s coupled with afternoon relative humidity values as low as 16-27% (lowest values reserved for the western tier of counties) will facilitate receptive fuels with fine-dead fuel moisture values of 4% in southwestern and western tier counties with widespread 5% observations expected. South winds 7-14 mph with gusts in northwest Oklahoma around 20 mph will support potential for rates of fire spread 100-185 ft./min. and head fire flame lengths around 10 ft.

 Friday: Fire danger concerns remain in place across the Panhandle counties although a bit more relaxed fire danger indices will be present in most of Oklahoma as moisture improves along with opportunity for scattered showers late Friday. In the Panhandle, temperatures again in the mid-80⁰’s coupled with relative humidity values 15-20% and fine-dead fuel moisture values 4-5%. Potential for rapid rates of fire spread remains, although initial attack efforts should prove successful through the early part of the burning period. An approaching cold front during the evening should be monitored on any going fire for the potential for changes in direction of fire spread.

 Saturday: North winds will prevail in the wake of a passing front. Areas where isolated showers developed will see a reprieve from building fire danger although many areas across the western third of Oklahoma will see drying conditions and continued fire danger building into Sunday.

Sunday: Warm, dry and windy conditions will be present across western Oklahoma. Given current forecast data, red flag warning criteria will potentially be met in the western Panhandle counties with elevated fire weather expected in the western third of the state. Two weather elements (dryline and cold front timing) will need to be evaluated in nearer term forecasts to more accurately evaluate the fire environment. Currently, temperatures in the 70⁰’s (Panhandle) to 80⁰’s (western OK) and relative humidity values 12-25% will support fine dead fuel moisture values of 4-5%. Southwest winds 20-25 mph gusting in excess of 30 mph will support very rapid rates of fire spread and potential for problematic fire behavior.

Burn Ban Status: No Burn Bans currently in effect.

Refer to http://www.forestry.ok.gov/burn-ban-info for the most current burn ban information and links to specific burn ban proclamations.